OverviewReason for wind power forecastsTime scales of forecastsGeneral methodologyPrediction of meteorological variablesPhysical approach to wind power forecastingStatistical approach to wind power forecastingUncertainty of wind power forecasts
In the electricity grid at any moment balance must be maintained between electricity consumption and generation – otherwise disturbances in power quality or supply may occur. Wind generation is a direct function of wind speed and, in contrast to conventional generation systems, is not easily dispatchable, so fluctuations of wind generation require power substitution from other sources that might not be available on a short notice (it takes 6 hours to fire up a coal plant and 12 hours for a nuclear one). The problem
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